Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


UA 5514 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	DEN 10:15	HSV 14:14	9%	2%	0.6%	88%
UA 5356 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	DEN 17:45	HSV 21:38	10%	3%	0.6%	75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Huntsville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Huntsville is 1 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DEN 00:40 → ATL 05:42DL 302	2h 23m Atlanta	ATL 08:05 → HSV 08:03DL 3036	6h 23m	100%	95%
Delta Details →	DEN 07:58 → ATL 12:56DL 995	2h 33m Atlanta	ATL 15:29 → HSV 15:29DL 3026	6h 31m	100%	93%
Delta Details →	DEN 10:52 → ATL 15:52DL 346	3h 08m Atlanta	ATL 19:00 → HSV 19:00DL 3171	7h 08m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	DEN 14:10 → ATL 19:16DL 706	3h 44m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → HSV 23:01DL 3022	7h 51m	99%	91%
United Details →	DEN 00:05 → IAD 05:47UA 1924	3h 13m Dulles	IAD 09:00 → HSV 10:13UA 4262 · flown by CommuteAir	9h 08m	100%	90%
United Details →	DEN 05:00 → IAH 08:32UA 320	1h 33m Houston	IAH 10:05 → HSV 12:08UA 4315 · flown by CommuteAir	6h 08m	99%	86%
American Details →	DEN 07:22 → DFW 10:23AA 852	3h 37m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 14:00 → HSV 15:56AA 3967 · flown by Envoy	7h 34m	97%	86%
American Details →	DEN 15:11 → DFW 18:21AA 420	3h 09m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:30 → HSV 23:26AA 4278 · flown by Envoy	7h 15m	97%	85%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON