Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 10:13 am at Denver)

Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 12:59, is the safest bet: 80% chance of reaching Myrtle Beach on time.

Best connections today, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Myrtle Beach is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DEN 12:59 → ATL 17:59DL 706	3h 39m Atlanta	ATL 21:38 → MYR 22:56DL 3074	7h 57m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	DEN 10:52 → ATL 15:52DL 346	1h 07m Atlanta	ATL 16:59 → MYR 18:16DL 1093	5h 24m	92%	76%
American Details →	DEN 10:53 → CLT 16:09AA 3299	1h 31m Charlotte	CLT 17:40 → MYR 18:46AA 1417	5h 53m	93%	68%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON