Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, UA 1737 at 19:15, with a 20% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


UA 1737 United	DEN 19:15	PSC 20:51	20%	6%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pasco on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pasco is 1 h behind Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DEN 07:05 → SLC 08:36DL 1581	3h 48m Salt Lake City	SLC 12:24 → PSC 13:09DL 3892 · flown by SkyWest	7h 04m	98%	93%
Delta Details →	DEN 12:45 → SLC 14:20DL 1553	1h 32m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:52 → PSC 16:38DL 3728 · flown by SkyWest	4h 53m	97%	90%
Delta Details →	DEN 17:56 → SLC 19:29DL 1623	3h 46m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:15 → PSC 23:54DL 1712	6h 58m	97%	87%
Delta Details →	DEN 12:10 → MSP 15:10DL 2877	3h 15m Minneapolis	MSP 18:25 → PSC 19:45DL 762	8h 35m	99%	82%
American Details →	DEN 12:27 → PHX 13:32AA 1332	3h 31m Phoenix	PHX 17:03 → PSC 19:31AA 5006 · flown by SkyWest	8h 04m	96%	82%
Delta Details →	DEN 18:39 → SEA 20:41DL 2543	2h 04m Seattle	SEA 22:45 → PSC 23:53DL 4017 · flown by SkyWest	6h 14m	92%	78%
Delta Details →	DEN 06:30 → SEA 08:26DL 1731	2h 09m Seattle	SEA 10:35 → PSC 11:43DL 3992 · flown by SkyWest	6h 13m	97%	69%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON