tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, UA 372 at 10:07, with a 10% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 372 United Flight history → DEN 10:07 PWM 16:13 10% 3% 0.5% 74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Portland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → DEN 00:05 → IAD 05:47UA 1924 2h 36m Dulles IAD 08:23 → PWM 10:26UA 3548 · flown by Republic 8h 21m 100% 94%
UnitedDetails → DEN 00:09 → EWR 05:36UA 1745 2h 09m Newark EWR 07:45 → PWM 09:11UA 3665 · flown by Republic 7h 02m 99% 94%
UnitedDetails → DEN 12:48 → IAD 18:09UA 2087 3h 55m Dulles IAD 22:04 → PWM 00:04 +1UA 3459 · flown by Republic 9h 16m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → DEN 06:05 → DTW 10:54DL 1745 3h 11m Detroit DTW 14:05 → PWM 16:01DL 1821 7h 56m 99% 92%
AmericanDetails → DEN 07:16 → ORD 11:00AA 2771 2h 20m Chicago ORD 13:20 → PWM 16:45AA 4741 · flown by Republic 7h 29m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → DEN 12:02 → ATL 17:04DL 995 3h 31m Atlanta ATL 20:35 → PWM 23:14DL 2138 9h 12m 100% 86%
UnitedDetails → DEN 06:00 → ORD 09:42UA 1377 1h 18m Chicago ORD 11:00 → PWM 14:31UA 2804 6h 31m 98% 85%
JetBlueDetails → DEN 14:09 → JFK 20:11B6 1498 2h 24m New York JFK 22:35 → PWM 00:08 +1B6 308 7h 59m 98% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON