tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 2082 United Flight history → DEN 11:15 RDM 12:53 11% 3% 0.5% 73%
UA 1588 United Flight history → DEN 19:29 RDM 21:05 16% 4% 0.6% 74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Redmond on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Redmond is 1 h behind Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DEN 05:40 → SLC 07:13DL 2544 3h 32m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → RDM 11:35DL 3727 · flown by SkyWest 6h 55m 99% 95%
DeltaDetails → DEN 17:56 → SLC 19:29DL 1623 3h 38m Salt Lake City SLC 23:07 → RDM 23:58DL 3756 · flown by SkyWest 7h 02m 97% 93%
AmericanDetails → DEN 07:13 → PHX 08:08AA 1404 3h 32m Phoenix PHX 11:40 → RDM 14:09AA 3929 · flown by Envoy 7h 56m 98% 90%
AmericanDetails → DEN 12:10 → PHX 13:30AA 2602 3h 10m Phoenix PHX 16:40 → RDM 19:07AA 3597 · flown by Envoy 7h 57m 97% 87%
UnitedDetails → DEN 11:45 → LAX 13:17UA 1013 3h 07m Los Angeles LAX 16:24 → RDM 18:39UA 504 7h 54m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → DEN 05:15 → SFO 06:53UA 2367 3h 35m San Francisco SFO 10:28 → RDM 12:12UA 2153 7h 57m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → DEN 13:03 → SEA 15:05DL 1358 2h 20m Seattle SEA 17:25 → RDM 18:43DL 4141 · flown by SkyWest 6h 40m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → DEN 11:21 → SFO 13:04UA 1561 3h 34m San Francisco SFO 16:38 → RDM 18:23UA 2418 8h 02m 100% 85%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → DEN 18:39 → SEA 20:41DL 2543 54m Seattle SEA 21:35 → RDM 22:57DL 4047 · flown by SkyWest 5h 18m 71% 64%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON