Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


UA 2601 United Flight history →	DEN 09:35	RSW 15:22	11%	4%	0.8%	90%
UA 572 United	DEN 16:06	RSW 21:54	19%	8%	0.9%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Myers is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	DEN 00:05 → IAD 05:47UA 1924	2h 28m Dulles	IAD 08:15 → RSW 10:53UA 1406	8h 48m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	DEN 00:40 → ATL 05:42DL 302	2h 23m Atlanta	ATL 08:05 → RSW 09:43DL 1089	7h 03m	100%	88%
United Details →	DEN 00:09 → EWR 05:42UA 1745	2h 08m Newark	EWR 07:50 → RSW 10:53UA 1115	8h 44m	99%	87%
United Details →	DEN 06:00 → ORD 09:42UA 1377	1h 28m Chicago	ORD 11:10 → RSW 15:16UA 2137	7h 16m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	DEN 06:05 → DTW 10:54DL 1745	3h 34m Detroit	DTW 14:28 → RSW 17:22DL 1225	9h 17m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	DEN 05:45 → ATL 10:44DL 341	2h 09m Atlanta	ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196	6h 50m	99%	83%
American Details →	DEN 05:00 → DFW 08:05AA 2612	1h 47m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:52 → RSW 13:41AA 2740	6h 41m	99%	81%
Delta Details →	DEN 07:57 → ATL 12:57DL 995	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379	6h 47m	99%	80%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON