tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OO 4765 SkyWest DEN 11:53 SHV 15:10 11% 3% 0.5% no record
OO 376 SkyWest DEN 17:43 SHV 21:03 15% 3% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Shreveport on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Shreveport is 1 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → DEN 05:00 → IAH 08:32UA 320 1h 23m Houston IAH 09:55 → SHV 11:09UA 4952 · flown by CommuteAir 5h 09m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → DEN 10:52 → ATL 15:52DL 346 3h 13m Atlanta ATL 19:05 → SHV 19:52DL 3505 · flown by SkyWest 8h 00m 100% 86%
UnitedDetails → DEN 07:42 → IAH 11:15UA 1720 3h 13m Houston IAH 14:28 → SHV 15:41UA 5765 · flown by SkyWest 6h 59m 100% 86%
AmericanDetails → DEN 12:39 → DFW 15:47AA 2359 3h 27m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:14 → SHV 20:25AA 6245 · flown by SkyWest 6h 46m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → DEN 14:10 → ATL 19:16DL 706 1h 59m Atlanta ATL 21:15 → SHV 22:04DL 4095 · flown by SkyWest 6h 54m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → DEN 07:58 → ATL 12:57DL 995 2h 44m Atlanta ATL 15:41 → SHV 16:34DL 4111 · flown by SkyWest 7h 36m 100% 85%
AmericanDetails → DEN 16:40 → DFW 19:41AA 1832 2h 42m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 22:23 → SHV 23:20AA 4902 · flown by SkyWest 5h 40m 94% 84%
AmericanDetails → DEN 10:38 → DFW 13:40AA 1756 3h 22m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:02 → SHV 18:04AA 6410 · flown by SkyWest 6h 26m 97% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON