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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, UA 2350 at 18:10, with a 19% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 2350 United Flight history → DEN 18:10 SYR 23:44 19% 3% 0.6% 76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Syracuse on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Syracuse is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → DEN 00:40 → ATL 05:42DL 302 3h 33m Atlanta ATL 09:15 → SYR 11:25DL 1375 8h 45m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → DEN 05:45 → ATL 10:44DL 341 1h 53m Atlanta ATL 12:37 → SYR 14:48DL 2991 7h 03m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → DEN 07:15 → ATL 12:11DL 431 3h 32m Atlanta ATL 15:43 → SYR 17:59DL 2690 8h 44m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → DEN 14:10 → ATL 19:16DL 706 2h 19m Atlanta ATL 21:35 → SYR 23:48DL 2123 7h 38m 98% 87%
JetBlueDetails → DEN 14:09 → JFK 20:11B6 1498 2h 18m New York JFK 22:29 → SYR 00:03 +1B6 1516 7h 54m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → DEN 14:59 → DTW 19:49DL 1648 1h 46m Detroit DTW 21:35 → SYR 22:58DL 1689 5h 59m 95% 84%
UnitedDetails → DEN 08:00 → ORD 11:43UA 2430 2h 12m Chicago ORD 13:55 → SYR 16:48UA 2343 6h 48m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → DEN 00:05 → IAD 05:47UA 1924 2h 42m Dulles IAD 08:29 → SYR 09:55UA 4370 · flown by CommuteAir 7h 50m 100% 83%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON