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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: American via Charlotte, leaving 04:47, is the safest bet: 89% chance of reaching Albany on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albany is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → DFW 04:47 → CLT 08:21AA 1091 2h 02m Charlotte CLT 10:23 → ALB 12:25AA 710 6h 38m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → DFW 05:20 → DTW 09:04DL 2183 1h 37m Detroit DTW 10:41 → ALB 12:27DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest 6h 07m 98% 88%
AmericanDetails → DFW 07:00 → CLT 10:44AA 317 3h 31m Charlotte CLT 14:15 → ALB 16:31AA 1075 8h 31m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → DFW 07:08 → ORD 09:50UA 1695 2h 07m Chicago ORD 11:57 → ALB 15:04UA 2792 6h 56m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → DFW 10:06 → ATL 13:25DL 839 1h 42m Atlanta ATL 15:07 → ALB 17:30DL 1241 6h 24m 98% 87%
UnitedDetails → DFW 12:00 → ORD 14:42UA 1401 3h 52m Chicago ORD 18:34 → ALB 21:35UA 1382 8h 35m 99% 84%
AmericanDetails → DFW 11:55 → CLT 15:36AA 1696 3h 46m Charlotte CLT 19:22 → ALB 21:27AA 589 8h 32m 100% 83%
AmericanDetails → DFW 07:30 → PHL 11:52AA 415 1h 13m Philadelphia PHL 13:05 → ALB 14:29AA 6028 · flown by Piedmont 6h 01m 95% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON