tailodds FORECAST
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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: AA 1083 at 09:25 is the safest bet, 17% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 31%.

Nonstops today

All 2 nonstops →
AA 1083 American DFW 09:25 BDL 13:59 17% 4% 0.3% no record
AA 1425 American Flight history → DFW 17:35 BDL 22:09 31% 8% 1.2% 62%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hartford on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Hartford is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DFW 06:45 → ATL 09:59DL 893 3h 57m Atlanta ATL 13:56 → BDL 16:16DL 2739 8h 31m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → DFW 05:20 → DTW 09:04DL 2183 1h 26m Detroit DTW 10:30 → BDL 12:13DL 2163 5h 53m 97% 88%
DeltaDetails → DFW 05:50 → ATL 08:58DL 401 1h 24m Atlanta ATL 10:22 → BDL 12:45DL 1082 5h 55m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → DFW 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 773 2h 52m Denver DEN 09:45 → BDL 15:37UA 2643 8h 52m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → DFW 10:06 → ATL 13:25DL 839 2h 09m Atlanta ATL 15:34 → BDL 17:59DL 2735 6h 53m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → DFW 16:21 → ATL 19:28DL 921 2h 03m Atlanta ATL 21:31 → BDL 23:54DL 1011 6h 33m 100% 85%
AmericanDetails → DFW 04:52 → CLT 08:24AA 1091 3h 44m Charlotte CLT 12:08 → BDL 14:05AA 2741 8h 13m 100% 82%
DeltaDetails → DFW 13:50 → ATL 17:14DL 414 1h 42m Atlanta ATL 18:56 → BDL 21:19DL 2504 6h 29m 96% 81%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → DFW 17:15 → DCA 21:31AA 472 56m Washington DCA 22:27 → BDL 00:00 +1AA 974 5h 45m 70% 52%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON