tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–20% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 1923 American Flight history → DFW 08:16 JAC 10:25 12% 5% 0.8% 73%
AA 1883 American Flight history → DFW 10:36 JAC 12:35 20% 6% 0.8% 66%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Jackson on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 1 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → DFW 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 773 1h 07m Denver DEN 08:00 → JAC 09:43UA 5730 · flown by SkyWest 4h 58m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → DFW 14:31 → SLC 16:18DL 2800 2h 12m Salt Lake City SLC 18:30 → JAC 19:37DL 4025 · flown by SkyWest 6h 06m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → DFW 07:45 → SLC 09:31DL 1291 1h 39m Salt Lake City SLC 11:10 → JAC 12:15DL 2282 5h 30m 96% 87%
DeltaDetails → DFW 12:30 → SLC 14:20DL 2798 1h 31m Salt Lake City SLC 15:51 → JAC 16:58DL 509 5h 28m 97% 87%
UnitedDetails → DFW 11:35 → DEN 12:45UA 2049 3h 35m Denver DEN 16:20 → JAC 17:53UA 2200 7h 18m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → DFW 12:17 → ATL 15:35DL 961 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 18:10 → JAC 20:04DL 315 8h 47m 99% 82%
AmericanDetails → DFW 04:52 → ORD 07:25AA 1938 2h 30m Chicago ORD 09:55 → JAC 12:09AA 1898 8h 17m 98% 82%
AmericanDetails → DFW 07:05 → LAX 08:35AA 3317 1h 11m Los Angeles LAX 09:46 → JAC 13:22AA 6471 · flown by SkyWest 7h 17m 93% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON