Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, OH 5653 at 12:57, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


OH 5653 PSA	DFW 12:57	MYR 16:44	11%	3%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Myrtle Beach is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DFW 05:20 → ATL 08:34DL 401	3h 14m Atlanta	ATL 11:48 → MYR 13:00DL 3182	6h 40m	100%	91%
American Details →	DFW 04:52 → CLT 08:25AA 1091	1h 52m Charlotte	CLT 10:17 → MYR 11:19AA 2431	5h 27m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	DFW 12:17 → ATL 15:35DL 961	2h 13m Atlanta	ATL 17:48 → MYR 19:07DL 1093	5h 50m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	DFW 17:59 → ATL 21:16DL 921	1h 24m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → MYR 23:55DL 3074	4h 56m	96%	83%
American Details →	DFW 11:54 → DCA 15:59AA 1414	1h 07m Washington	DCA 17:06 → MYR 18:51AA 5266 · flown by PSA	5h 57m	91%	83%
American Details →	DFW 11:55 → CLT 15:36AA 1696	2h 12m Charlotte	CLT 17:48 → MYR 18:52AA 1417	5h 57m	97%	79%
American Details →	DFW 09:38 → PHL 14:00AA 402	2h 19m Philadelphia	PHL 16:19 → MYR 18:20AA 5849 · flown by Piedmont	7h 49m	97%	76%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON