tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Detroit, leaving 05:20, is the safest bet: 89% chance of reaching Portland on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AA 2312 American Flight history → DFW 14:07 PWM 18:51 18% 7% 0.6% 56%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Portland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DFW 05:20 → ATL 08:34DL 401 1h 46m Atlanta ATL 10:20 → PWM 13:00DL 2479 6h 40m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → DFW 05:20 → DTW 09:04DL 2183 56m Detroit DTW 10:00 → PWM 11:55DL 426 5h 35m 95% 89%
UnitedDetails → DFW 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 773 3h 14m Denver DEN 10:07 → PWM 16:14UA 372 9h 29m 100% 89%
AmericanDetails → DFW 08:24 → ORD 10:52AA 328 2h 28m Chicago ORD 13:20 → PWM 16:45AA 4741 · flown by Republic 7h 21m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → DFW 05:59 → LGA 10:41AA 2925 3h 38m New York LGA 14:19 → PWM 15:29AA 2700 8h 30m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → DFW 13:50 → ATL 17:14DL 414 3h 21m Atlanta ATL 20:35 → PWM 23:14DL 2138 8h 24m 99% 86%
AmericanDetails → DFW 04:47 → CLT 08:21AA 1091 1h 53m Charlotte CLT 10:14 → PWM 12:36AA 1744 6h 49m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → DFW 09:38 → PHL 14:00AA 402 3h 57m Philadelphia PHL 17:57 → PWM 19:38AA 1889 9h 00m 99% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON