Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 1145 at 08:45, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 1145 Delta Flight history →	DTW 08:45	MYR 10:39	7%	2%	0.5%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DTW 06:17 → ATL 08:11DL 1611	3h 37m Atlanta	ATL 11:48 → MYR 13:00DL 3182	6h 43m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375	2h 20m Atlanta	ATL 09:30 → MYR 10:47DL 3047	5h 30m	99%	88%
United Details →	DTW 11:11 → EWR 13:06UA 3706 · flown by Republic	2h 49m Newark	EWR 15:55 → MYR 18:03UA 3589 · flown by Republic	6h 52m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	DTW 16:50 → ATL 18:55DL 1467	3h 45m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → MYR 23:55DL 3074	7h 05m	100%	87%
American Details →	DTW 06:01 → PHL 07:51AA 5414 · flown by PSA	1h 04m Philadelphia	PHL 08:55 → MYR 10:54AA 5848 · flown by Piedmont	4h 53m	100%	85%
American Details →	DTW 06:00 → CLT 07:51AA 387	1h 04m Charlotte	CLT 08:55 → MYR 10:07AA 2431	4h 07m	95%	85%
Delta Details →	DTW 12:25 → ATL 14:20DL 2188	3h 28m Atlanta	ATL 17:48 → MYR 19:07DL 1093	6h 42m	99%	84%
American Details →	DTW 14:48 → CLT 16:39AA 1683	3h 50m Charlotte	CLT 20:29 → MYR 21:41AA 1085	6h 53m	100%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON