Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 10–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2001 Delta	DTW 08:40	RSW 11:39	10%	2%	1.2%	no record
DL 1225 Delta Flight history →	DTW 14:28	RSW 17:22	12%	5%	1.2%	79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	DTW 06:02 → PHL 07:51AA 5414 · flown by PSA	1h 38m Philadelphia	PHL 09:29 → RSW 12:20AA 2365	6h 18m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	DTW 07:20 → ATL 09:18DL 965	3h 35m Atlanta	ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196	7h 15m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375	55m Atlanta	ATL 08:05 → RSW 09:43DL 1089	4h 26m	94%	85%
Delta Details →	DTW 16:50 → ATL 18:55DL 1467	3h 45m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → RSW 00:23 +1DL 1217	7h 33m	100%	84%
Delta Details →	DTW 07:01 → MSP 07:53DL 1746	1h 12m Minneapolis	MSP 09:05 → RSW 13:27DL 2400	6h 26m	95%	84%
Delta Details →	DTW 06:17 → ATL 08:11DL 1611	2h 14m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153	5h 54m	99%	84%
American Details →	DTW 07:23 → CLT 09:16AA 1439	2h 52m Charlotte	CLT 12:08 → RSW 14:15AA 2018	6h 52m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	DTW 10:25 → ATL 12:19DL 2856	2h 40m Atlanta	ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379	6h 19m	99%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON