tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 07:50, is the safest bet: 89% chance of reaching Denver on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Panama City Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ECP 07:50 → ATL 10:00DL 1674 2h 55m Atlanta ATL 12:55 → DEN 14:00DL 957 7h 10m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → ECP 06:00 → ATL 08:13DL 3114 3h 42m Atlanta ATL 11:55 → DEN 13:00DL 706 8h 00m 97% 88%
DeltaDetails → ECP 09:12 → ATL 11:20DL 3048 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 13:55 → DEN 14:58DL 530 6h 46m 97% 86%
DeltaDetails → ECP 14:47 → ATL 17:00DL 2823 2h 25m Atlanta ATL 19:25 → DEN 20:43DL 746 6h 56m 97% 86%
UnitedDetails → ECP 14:53 → IAH 17:09UA 4352 · flown by CommuteAir 3h 17m Houston IAH 20:26 → DEN 22:27UA 685 8h 34m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → ECP 11:38 → ATL 13:51DL 3045 2h 52m Atlanta ATL 16:43 → DEN 17:56DL 519 7h 18m 97% 82%
SouthwestDetails → ECP 07:57 → DAL 10:07WN 312 1h 37m Dallas DAL 11:44 → DEN 12:46WN 1352 5h 49m 97% 81%
UnitedDetails → ECP 11:45 → IAH 13:56UA 4851 · flown by CommuteAir 2h 39m Houston IAH 16:35 → DEN 18:05UA 470 7h 20m 96% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON