Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: one nonstop, AS 3260 at 19:35, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


AS 3260 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history →	EUG 19:35	BUR 21:49	13%	6%	0.7%	87%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Burbank on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	EUG 06:00 → SLC 08:53DL 3708 · flown by SkyWest	1h 52m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:45 → BUR 11:54DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest	5h 54m	99%	93%
United Details →	EUG 05:00 → DEN 08:37UA 1241	2h 38m Denver	DEN 11:15 → BUR 12:48UA 2154	7h 48m	98%	88%
United Details →	EUG 06:00 → SFO 07:35UA 335	58m San Francisco	SFO 08:33 → BUR 09:57UA 2363	3h 57m	93%	86%
Alaska Details →	EUG 16:00 → PDX 16:51AS 3041 · flown by SkyWest	1h 06m Portland	PDX 17:57 → BUR 20:18AS 559	4h 18m	95%	84%
Delta Details →	EUG 16:43 → SLC 19:41DL 4105 · flown by SkyWest	1h 09m Salt Lake City	SLC 20:50 → BUR 21:48DL 339	5h 05m	97%	83%
Alaska Details →	EUG 09:45 → SEA 10:53AS 2073 · flown by Horizon	2h 59m Seattle	SEA 13:52 → BUR 16:19AS 529	6h 34m	100%	75%
Alaska Details →	EUG 06:00 → SEA 07:08AS 2046 · flown by Horizon	1h 43m Seattle	SEA 08:51 → BUR 11:17AS 1389	5h 17m	98%	74%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON