Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, G7 4409 at 10:00, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


G7 4409 GoJet	EWR 10:00	BGR 11:36	11%	4%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Bangor on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	EWR 04:54 → CLT 06:51AA 1113	3h 51m Charlotte	CLT 10:42 → BGR 13:22AA 1874	8h 28m	99%	89%
American Details →	EWR 07:30 → CLT 09:35AA 1575	2h 45m Charlotte	CLT 12:20 → BGR 14:48AA 1411	7h 18m	98%	88%
American Details →	EWR 10:40 → ORD 12:25AA 3170	1h 11m Chicago	ORD 13:36 → BGR 17:05AA 3683 · flown by Envoy	6h 25m	93%	80%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON