tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
G7 4550 GoJet EWR 13:45 TYS 15:49 11% 2% 0.9% no record
G7 4503 GoJet EWR 18:56 TYS 20:59 16% 4% 1.2% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Knoxville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → EWR 07:05 → ATL 09:20DL 1673 3h 26m Atlanta ATL 12:46 → TYS 13:48DL 724 6h 43m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → EWR 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 2353 1h 55m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → TYS 11:10DL 1743 5h 10m 96% 90%
DeltaDetails → EWR 13:29 → ATL 16:00DL 2401 3h 27m Atlanta ATL 19:27 → TYS 20:32DL 5203 · flown by Endeavor 7h 03m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → EWR 08:30 → ATL 10:51DL 2365 3h 01m Atlanta ATL 13:52 → TYS 14:48DL 1148 6h 18m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → EWR 10:31 → ATL 12:53DL 2325 3h 23m Atlanta ATL 16:16 → TYS 17:16DL 2571 6h 45m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → EWR 06:00 → DTW 07:50DL 2596 1h 19m Detroit DTW 09:09 → TYS 10:48DL 5347 · flown by Endeavor 4h 48m 94% 87%
UnitedDetails → EWR 06:00 → IAD 07:22UA 1366 1h 33m Dulles IAD 08:55 → TYS 10:36UA 4257 · flown by CommuteAir 4h 36m 98% 87%
AmericanDetails → EWR 06:00 → CLT 08:01AA 2505 2h 50m Charlotte CLT 10:51 → TYS 12:00AA 6095 · flown by Piedmont 6h 00m 96% 86%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON