tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AS 3487 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history → FAT 07:30 PDX 09:27 8% 5% 0.6% 92%
OO 3202 SkyWest FAT 17:25 PDX 19:31 9% 6% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Portland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FAT 06:00 → SLC 08:41DL 4138 · flown by SkyWest 2h 34m Salt Lake City SLC 11:15 → PDX 12:10DL 1209 6h 10m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → FAT 17:13 → SLC 19:58DL 3777 · flown by SkyWest 2h 52m Salt Lake City SLC 22:50 → PDX 23:44DL 1373 6h 31m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → FAT 05:00 → DEN 08:22UA 1774 3h 05m Denver DEN 11:27 → PDX 13:09UA 644 8h 09m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → FAT 09:48 → SLC 12:29DL 3786 · flown by SkyWest 2h 48m Salt Lake City SLC 15:17 → PDX 16:09DL 1244 6h 21m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → FAT 09:00 → DEN 12:34UA 5787 · flown by SkyWest 53m Denver DEN 13:27 → PDX 15:13UA 2455 6h 13m 91% 85%
UnitedDetails → FAT 06:30 → SFO 07:34UA 5338 · flown by SkyWest 2h 32m San Francisco SFO 10:06 → PDX 12:02UA 2624 5h 32m 97% 83%
AlaskaDetails → FAT 06:00 → SAN 07:24AS 3402 · flown by SkyWest 3h 40m San Diego SAN 11:04 → PDX 13:43AS 576 7h 43m 99% 82%
AmericanDetails → FAT 06:15 → PHX 08:01AA 6275 · flown by SkyWest 2h 42m Phoenix PHX 10:43 → PDX 13:38AA 2986 7h 23m 96% 80%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON