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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:23, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Albany on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 1h 52m Atlanta ATL 09:03 → ALB 11:22DL 1137 5h 59m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631 1h 45m Detroit DTW 10:41 → ALB 12:27DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest 6h 27m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → FLL 06:03 → CLT 08:07AA 1474 2h 16m Charlotte CLT 10:23 → ALB 12:25AA 710 6h 22m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → FLL 16:40 → DTW 19:46DL 1294 1h 59m Detroit DTW 21:45 → ALB 23:21DL 2660 6h 41m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → FLL 15:32 → ATL 17:42DL 1341 3h 56m Atlanta ATL 21:38 → ALB 23:59DL 2584 8h 27m 100% 87%
AmericanDetails → FLL 09:19 → CLT 11:21AA 2087 2h 54m Charlotte CLT 14:15 → ALB 16:31AA 1075 7h 12m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → FLL 06:47 → PHL 09:37AA 2089 3h 28m Philadelphia PHL 13:05 → ALB 14:29AA 6028 · flown by Piedmont 7h 44m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → FLL 11:31 → ATL 13:28DL 1334 1h 39m Atlanta ATL 15:07 → ALB 17:30DL 1241 5h 59m 96% 84%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON