tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: B6 2371 at 09:45 is the safest bet, 10% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 25%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
B6 2371 JetBlue Flight history → FLL 09:45 AUS 11:48 10% 3% 0.7% 78%
B6 2271 JetBlue Flight history → FLL 20:59 AUS 23:08 25% 10% 1.3% 48%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Austin on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 59m Atlanta ATL 08:10 → AUS 09:27DL 2976 5h 04m 97% 91%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 2h 38m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → AUS 12:25DL 2011 6h 52m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:40 → ATL 09:33DL 1326 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 12:33 → AUS 13:54DL 2104 7h 14m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:06 → JFK 10:00DL 2165 1h 10m New York JFK 11:10 → AUS 14:06DL 2323 8h 00m 98% 90%
UnitedDetails → FLL 06:59 → IAH 09:00UA 2314 3h 05m Houston IAH 12:05 → AUS 13:12UA 1859 7h 13m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → FLL 13:28 → ATL 15:32DL 1512 3h 27m Atlanta ATL 18:59 → AUS 20:22DL 1170 7h 54m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → FLL 12:13 → IAD 14:49UA 1421 3h 11m Dulles IAD 18:00 → AUS 20:35UA 2337 9h 22m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → FLL 09:00 → IAH 10:45UA 722 3h 37m Houston IAH 14:22 → AUS 15:27UA 2483 7h 27m 100% 87%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → FLL 11:31 → ATL 13:28DL 1334 47m Atlanta ATL 14:15 → AUS 15:50DL 1397 5h 19m 71% 64%
AmericanDetails → FLL 12:46 → DFW 15:02AA 1429 48m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 15:50 → AUS 16:57AA 1146 5h 11m 72% 57%
AmericanDetails → FLL 17:23 → DFW 19:31AA 1373 1h 02m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:33 → AUS 21:37AA 2707 5h 14m 72% 56%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON