Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:33, is the safest bet: 87% chance of reaching Burbank on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Burbank on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 3 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	2h 52m Atlanta	ATL 11:19 → BUR 12:55DL 483	9h 22m	99%	87%
United Details →	FLL 08:00 → DEN 10:18UA 1311	57m Denver	DEN 11:15 → BUR 12:48UA 2154	7h 48m	95%	85%
JetBlue Details →	FLL 11:57 → JFK 14:53B6 2102	2h 24m New York	JFK 17:17 → BUR 20:35B6 358	11h 38m	97%	84%
American Details →	FLL 15:29 → DFW 17:37AA 1390	3h 09m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 20:46 → BUR 21:58AA 2597	9h 29m	95%	73%
United Details →	FLL 15:30 → DEN 18:18UA 1417	1h 10m Denver	DEN 19:28 → BUR 20:58UA 2411	8h 28m	87%	73%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON