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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Detroit, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 94% chance of reaching Columbus on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbus on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631 3h 24m Detroit DTW 12:20 → CMH 13:27DL 5774 · flown by Republic 7h 27m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → FLL 16:40 → DTW 19:46DL 1294 3h 04m Detroit DTW 22:50 → CMH 23:56DL 5634 · flown by Republic 7h 16m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 2h 59m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → CMH 11:48DL 1522 6h 25m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 3h 39m Atlanta ATL 12:06 → CMH 13:38DL 1750 7h 05m 100% 91%
AmericanDetails → FLL 08:45 → PHL 11:49AA 444 3h 38m Philadelphia PHL 15:27 → CMH 17:12AA 2592 8h 27m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:00 → LGA 09:57DL 2133 2h 00m New York LGA 11:57 → CMH 13:38DL 5669 · flown by Republic 6h 38m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → FLL 14:47 → MSP 17:39DL 673 2h 36m Minneapolis MSP 20:15 → CMH 23:07DL 1356 8h 20m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → FLL 16:46 → ATL 18:47DL 1413 3h 47m Atlanta ATL 22:34 → CMH 00:15 +1DL 1459 7h 29m 99% 89%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON