Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 2776 at 15:52, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 2776 Delta Flight history →	FLL 15:52	CVG 18:17	15%	6%	1.0%	75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	2h 48m Atlanta	ATL 09:59 → CVG 11:25DL 3160	6h 02m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → CVG 12:28DL 3149	5h 55m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	FLL 14:47 → MSP 17:39DL 673	2h 41m Minneapolis	MSP 20:20 → CVG 23:11DL 1469	8h 24m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	FLL 12:08 → ATL 14:00DL 1271	3h 59m Atlanta	ATL 17:59 → CVG 19:25DL 3119	7h 17m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	FLL 11:31 → ATL 13:28DL 1334	1h 47m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → CVG 16:41DL 1008	5h 10m	97%	89%
American Details →	FLL 13:41 → ORD 15:54AA 1443	3h 35m Chicago	ORD 19:29 → CVG 22:00AA 3690 · flown by Envoy	8h 19m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	FLL 14:30 → ATL 16:34DL 2063	3h 41m Atlanta	ATL 20:15 → CVG 21:45DL 2248	7h 15m	98%	88%
American Details →	FLL 06:03 → CLT 08:07AA 1474	3h 27m Charlotte	CLT 11:34 → CVG 12:54AA 1533	6h 51m	98%	88%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON