Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 3 nonstops

Tue, Oct 6 looks like a normal day here: all 3 nonstops are 8–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Safest bet that day B6 707 FLL 07:38 → LAS 10:05 · 8% chance 15+ min late Riskiest B6 607 FLL 23:10 → LAS 01:27 · 16% chance 15+ min late · usually 70% on time

Against a calm day 13% average chance a nonstop arrives 15+ min late; 8% for the same flights on a calm-weather day

Every nonstop on Tue, Oct 6

12-month record →

Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late, with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort.


B6 707 JetBlue	FLL 07:38	LAS 10:05	8%	2%	0.7%	no record
B6 507 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 14:59	LAS 17:23	14%	5%	0.7%	90%
B6 607 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 23:10	LAS 01:27	16%	7%	1.3%	70%

Alternatives with one stop that day

All connections →


Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	1h 14m Atlanta	ATL 08:25 → LAS 09:31DL 777	7h 08m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	1h 28m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → LAS 11:00DL 945	7h 27m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	FLL 07:40 → ATL 09:33DL 1326	1h 27m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → LAS 12:02DL 466	7h 22m	96%	88%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON