Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 11:31, is the safest bet: 78% chance of reaching Minneapolis on time.

Nonstops that day


DL 673 Delta Flight history →	FLL 14:47	MSP 17:39	10%	3%	0.7%	72%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 07:06 → JFK 10:00DL 2165	1h 35m New York	JFK 11:35 → MSP 13:50DL 2414	7h 44m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	1h 33m Atlanta	ATL 08:44 → MSP 10:18DL 2960	5h 55m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	3h 24m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → MSP 13:10DL 2697	8h 10m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	3h 50m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	8h 17m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	FLL 11:12 → JFK 13:59DL 1422	4h 00m New York	JFK 17:59 → MSP 19:45DL 2245	9h 33m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	FLL 07:00 → LGA 09:57DL 2133	1h 13m New York	LGA 11:10 → MSP 13:10DL 2409	7h 10m	97%	88%
United Details →	FLL 08:00 → DEN 10:18UA 1311	3h 24m Denver	DEN 13:42 → MSP 16:46UA 732	9h 46m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	FLL 12:01 → BOS 15:11DL 1401	2h 44m Boston	BOS 17:55 → MSP 20:21DL 1098	9h 20m	98%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON