Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 15–20% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


B6 1823 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 13:53	MSY 14:59	15%	8%	0.8%	55%
B6 2823 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 21:16	MSY 22:24	20%	12%	1.3%	59%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New Orleans on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	1h 47m Atlanta	ATL 08:58 → MSY 09:29DL 1424	5h 06m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → MSY 11:37DL 2542	6h 04m	99%	90%
United Details →	FLL 06:59 → IAH 09:01UA 2314	2h 54m Houston	IAH 11:55 → MSY 13:14UA 2385	7h 15m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	FLL 11:12 → JFK 13:59DL 1422	1h 32m New York	JFK 15:31 → MSY 18:02DL 1387	7h 50m	97%	88%
American Details →	FLL 06:03 → CLT 08:07AA 1474	3h 19m Charlotte	CLT 11:26 → MSY 12:23AA 2030	7h 20m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	FLL 12:08 → ATL 14:00DL 1271	3h 51m Atlanta	ATL 17:51 → MSY 18:27DL 678	7h 19m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	FLL 11:31 → ATL 13:28DL 1334	1h 55m Atlanta	ATL 15:23 → MSY 15:57DL 3146	5h 26m	97%	85%
United Details →	FLL 12:13 → IAD 14:49UA 1421	3h 15m Dulles	IAD 18:04 → MSY 19:41UA 251	8h 28m	99%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON