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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:23, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Salt Lake City on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 69% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 745 Delta Flight history → FLL 18:40 SLC 21:38 24% 9% 1.3% 76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631 3h 24m Detroit DTW 12:20 → SLC 14:11DL 935 10h 11m 100% 93%
DeltaDetails → FLL 11:12 → JFK 13:59DL 1422 2h 28m New York JFK 16:27 → SLC 19:55DL 887 10h 43m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 2h 59m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387 8h 47m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 3h 29m Atlanta ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663 9h 17m 99% 91%
AmericanDetails → FLL 06:19 → PHX 08:17AA 441 2h 34m Phoenix PHX 10:51 → SLC 13:31AA 6462 · flown by SkyWest 9h 12m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → FLL 15:52 → CVG 18:17DL 2776 3h 44m Hebron CVG 22:01 → SLC 23:54DL 445 10h 02m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:06 → JFK 10:00DL 2165 1h 14m New York JFK 11:14 → SLC 14:21DL 917 9h 15m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → FLL 12:08 → ATL 14:00DL 1271 4h 00m Atlanta ATL 18:00 → SLC 20:02DL 653 9h 54m 99% 89%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → FLL 16:46 → ATL 18:47DL 1413 47m Atlanta ATL 19:34 → SLC 21:37DL 660 6h 51m 69% 60%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON