tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: AA 484 at 05:16 is the safest bet, 6% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 23%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 484 American Flight history → GEG 05:16 DFW 10:55 6% 2% 0.7% 91%
AA 1381 American Flight history → GEG 12:42 DFW 18:07 23% 5% 0.6% 59%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Spokane). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → GEG 05:00 → DEN 08:20UA 1234 1h 23m Denver DEN 09:43 → DFW 12:50UA 1350 5h 50m 97% 88%
DeltaDetails → GEG 05:20 → SLC 08:02DL 1440 1h 48m Salt Lake City SLC 09:50 → DFW 13:30DL 2800 6h 10m 98% 87%
UnitedDetails → GEG 11:09 → ORD 17:00UA 5623 · flown by SkyWest 2h 50m Chicago ORD 19:50 → DFW 22:36UA 1673 9h 27m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → GEG 07:00 → MSP 11:52DL 1615 2h 55m Minneapolis MSP 14:47 → DFW 17:16DL 2971 8h 16m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → GEG 13:41 → DEN 16:57UA 1255 3h 56m Denver DEN 20:53 → DFW 23:59UA 2239 8h 18m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → GEG 13:00 → SEA 14:25DL 3754 · flown by SkyWest 3h 30m Seattle SEA 17:55 → DFW 23:55DL 870 8h 55m 100% 83%
DeltaDetails → GEG 13:30 → SLC 16:14DL 1452 1h 26m Salt Lake City SLC 17:40 → DFW 21:23DL 2796 5h 53m 96% 82%
AmericanDetails → GEG 07:24 → PHX 10:11AA 2697 2h 01m Phoenix PHX 12:12 → DFW 16:46AA 2905 7h 22m 98% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON