tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, OO 3037 at 06:12, with a 10% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
OO 3037 SkyWest GEG 06:12 SAN 08:55 10% 3% 0.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Diego on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → GEG 16:14 → LAX 18:57DL 3794 · flown by SkyWest 3h 48m Los Angeles LAX 22:45 → SAN 23:42DL 3746 · flown by SkyWest 7h 28m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → GEG 05:20 → SLC 08:02DL 1440 3h 08m Salt Lake City SLC 11:10 → SAN 12:08DL 1296 6h 48m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → GEG 17:10 → SLC 19:55DL 1503 3h 00m Salt Lake City SLC 22:55 → SAN 23:50DL 1202 6h 40m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → GEG 11:30 → SEA 12:54DL 3824 · flown by SkyWest 2h 21m Seattle SEA 15:15 → SAN 18:05DL 2613 6h 35m 96% 83%
AlaskaDetails → GEG 05:00 → PDX 06:10AS 710 1h 22m Portland PDX 07:32 → SAN 10:05AS 577 5h 05m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → GEG 05:00 → DEN 08:20UA 1234 2h 55m Denver DEN 11:15 → SAN 12:41UA 1940 7h 41m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → GEG 12:37 → SFO 15:01UA 5217 · flown by SkyWest 3h 56m San Francisco SFO 18:57 → SAN 20:40UA 1577 8h 03m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → GEG 05:25 → SEA 06:40DL 2218 3h 05m Seattle SEA 09:45 → SAN 12:39DL 2533 7h 14m 97% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON