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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 4049 United flown by Mesa no forecast: 12-month record GSP 07:00 IAH 08:33 13% 3% 0.0% 87%
UA 4038 United flown by Mesa no forecast: 12-month record GSP 17:10 IAH 18:45 20% 11% 0.0% 80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Greenville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → GSP 08:52 → ATL 09:58DL 1619 2h 29m Atlanta ATL 12:27 → IAH 13:33DL 1572 5h 41m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → GSP 05:44 → ATL 06:43DL 3028 3h 22m Atlanta ATL 10:05 → IAH 11:14DL 1682 6h 30m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → GSP 17:43 → ORD 19:00UA 5524 · flown by SkyWest 2h 40m Chicago ORD 21:40 → IAH 00:34 +1UA 2665 7h 51m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → GSP 11:12 → DTW 13:04DL 5195 · flown by Endeavor 2h 51m Detroit DTW 15:55 → IAH 17:37DL 1718 7h 25m 96% 84%
DeltaDetails → GSP 16:52 → ATL 18:00DL 3010 2h 13m Atlanta ATL 20:13 → IAH 21:24DL 1284 5h 32m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → GSP 10:03 → ATL 11:04DL 3089 3h 32m Atlanta ATL 14:36 → IAH 15:40DL 1223 6h 37m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → GSP 09:04 → CLT 10:25AA 5798 · flown by Piedmont 2h 15m Charlotte CLT 12:40 → IAH 14:18AA 398 6h 14m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → GSP 11:42 → ATL 12:45DL 2158 3h 39m Atlanta ATL 16:24 → IAH 17:26DL 1131 6h 44m 100% 81%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → GSP 15:31 → LGA 17:35DL 5463 · flown by Endeavor 54m New York LGA 18:29 → IAH 21:44DL 2109 7h 13m 65% 51%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON