Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 748 Southwest	HOU 09:45	ABQ 11:01	6%	2%	0.6%	no record
WN 893 Southwest	HOU 20:40	ABQ 22:08	13%	3%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albuquerque on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h behind Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	HOU 07:00 → DAL 08:10WN 4	3h 03m Dallas	DAL 11:13 → ABQ 12:03WN 1277	6h 03m	100%	92%
Southwest Details →	HOU 16:23 → DAL 17:26WN 42	2h 52m Dallas	DAL 20:18 → ABQ 21:27WN 3680	6h 04m	99%	89%
Southwest Details →	HOU 09:30 → DAL 10:35WN 14	2h 23m Dallas	DAL 12:58 → ABQ 13:47WN 1158	5h 17m	99%	89%
Southwest Details →	HOU 12:30 → DAL 13:40WN 26	2h 43m Dallas	DAL 16:23 → ABQ 17:12WN 3776	5h 42m	99%	86%
American Details →	HOU 09:31 → DFW 10:55AA 4036 · flown by Envoy	3h 26m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 14:21 → ABQ 15:19AA 3053	6h 48m	100%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON