Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 1699 at 11:50, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 1699 Southwest	HOU 11:50	CMH 15:33	6%	2%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbus on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557	3h 01m Atlanta	ATL 12:06 → CMH 13:38DL 1750	6h 38m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	HOU 10:40 → ATL 13:46DL 1509	3h 39m Atlanta	ATL 17:25 → CMH 19:03DL 2786	7h 23m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	HOU 14:16 → ATL 17:23DL 1195	3h 05m Atlanta	ATL 20:28 → CMH 22:09DL 1501	6h 53m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	HOU 17:17 → ATL 20:32DL 2381	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 22:34 → CMH 00:15 +1DL 1459	5h 58m	96%	86%
Southwest Details →	HOU 11:00 → DAL 12:10WN 20	3h 15m Dallas	DAL 15:25 → CMH 18:54WN 1321	6h 54m	99%	85%
American Details →	HOU 14:02 → DFW 15:25AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest	3h 36m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:01 → CMH 22:49AA 641	7h 47m	94%	77%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON