Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 3115 at 15:13, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 3115 Southwest	HOU 15:13	COS 16:37	14%	4%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Colorado Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Colorado Springs is 1 h behind Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	HOU 08:30 → DAL 09:40WN 10	2h 45m Dallas	DAL 12:25 → COS 13:36WN 1265	6h 06m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557	2h 25m Atlanta	ATL 11:30 → COS 12:32DL 2427	7h 32m	99%	88%
Southwest Details →	HOU 15:30 → DAL 16:40WN 38	2h 34m Dallas	DAL 19:14 → COS 20:16WN 210	5h 46m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	HOU 14:16 → ATL 17:23DL 1195	2h 36m Atlanta	ATL 19:59 → COS 21:07DL 971	7h 51m	97%	82%
American Details →	HOU 09:31 → DFW 10:55AA 4036 · flown by Envoy	2h 46m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:41 → COS 14:49AA 1170	6h 18m	100%	80%
American Details →	HOU 14:02 → DFW 15:25AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest	2h 02m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:27 → COS 18:34AA 6267 · flown by SkyWest	5h 32m	91%	73%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON