tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 22–24% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 4852 Southwest HOU 18:37 ECP 20:25 22% 5% 1.8% no record
WN 2040 Southwest HOU 14:50 ECP 16:44 24% 4% 2.1% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Panama City Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557 1h 36m Atlanta ATL 10:41 → ECP 10:48DL 3045 4h 48m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → HOU 10:40 → ATL 13:46DL 1509 2h 15m Atlanta ATL 16:01 → ECP 16:12DL 3094 5h 32m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → HOU 17:17 → ATL 20:32DL 2381 2h 55m Atlanta ATL 23:27 → ECP 23:37DL 3131 6h 20m 98% 87%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 06:00 → DAL 07:05WN 1636 2h 00m Dallas DAL 09:05 → ECP 11:08WN 1549 5h 08m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → HOU 15:08 → ATL 18:11DL 1195 48m Atlanta ATL 18:59 → ECP 19:10DL 3053 4h 02m 85% 76%
AmericanDetails → HOU 14:02 → DFW 15:25AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest 3h 34m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:59 → ECP 20:59AA 3628 · flown by Envoy 6h 57m 92% 76%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 12:30 → DAL 13:40WN 26 3h 17m Dallas DAL 16:57 → ECP 18:52WN 311 6h 22m 99% 72%
AmericanDetails → HOU 09:56 → DFW 11:20AA 4036 · flown by Envoy 59m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:19 → ECP 14:28AA 2052 4h 32m 90% 66%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON