tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1942 Southwest HOU 09:33 LAX 11:01 8% 1% 0.6% no record
WN 1943 Southwest HOU 15:09 LAX 16:38 9% 2% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Los Angeles on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557 3h 35m Atlanta ATL 12:40 → LAX 14:12DL 895 10h 12m 100% 93%
DeltaDetails → HOU 10:40 → ATL 13:46DL 1509 1h 56m Atlanta ATL 15:42 → LAX 17:21DL 301 8h 41m 98% 87%
AmericanDetails → HOU 09:31 → DFW 10:55AA 4036 · flown by Envoy 2h 12m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:07 → LAX 14:11AA 1275 6h 40m 98% 84%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 11:00 → DAL 12:10WN 20 2h 45m Dallas DAL 14:55 → LAX 16:03WN 609 7h 03m 99% 84%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 14:00 → DAL 15:10WN 32 2h 46m Dallas DAL 17:56 → LAX 19:18WN 2928 7h 18m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → HOU 17:17 → ATL 20:32DL 2381 2h 22m Atlanta ATL 22:54 → LAX 00:30 +1DL 575 9h 13m 97% 83%
DeltaDetails → HOU 14:16 → ATL 17:23DL 1195 1h 57m Atlanta ATL 19:20 → LAX 20:45DL 763 8h 29m 95% 81%
AmericanDetails → HOU 14:02 → DFW 15:25AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest 2h 16m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:41 → LAX 19:03AA 2125 7h 01m 92% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → HOU 09:31 → DFW 10:55AA 4036 · flown by Envoy 49m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 11:44 → LAX 13:06AA 442 5h 35m 67% 59%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON