Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 4:06 am at Houston)

Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


WN 1705 Southwest	HOU 08:53	OMA 11:15	8%	1%	0.1%	no record
WN 3570 Southwest	HOU 09:40	OMA 12:03	11%	1%	0.1%	no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	HOU 12:30 → DAL 13:40WN 26	3h 56m Dallas	DAL 17:36 → OMA 19:34WN 1077	7h 04m	100%	83%
Delta Details →	HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557	2h 21m Atlanta	ATL 11:26 → OMA 12:45DL 1125	6h 45m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	HOU 15:07 → ATL 18:09DL 1195	3h 30m Atlanta	ATL 21:39 → OMA 23:03DL 2010	7h 56m	98%	83%
American Details →	HOU 09:57 → DFW 11:20AA 4036 · flown by Envoy	2h 41m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 14:01 → OMA 16:02AA 2269	6h 05m	100%	76%
Southwest Details →	HOU 09:30 → DAL 10:35WN 14	2h 42m Dallas	DAL 13:17 → OMA 15:06WN 1356	5h 36m	98%	74%
Delta Details →	HOU 11:08 → ATL 14:11DL 1509	59m Atlanta	ATL 15:10 → OMA 16:32DL 2364	5h 24m	85%	69%
American Details →	HOU 14:05 → DFW 15:28AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest	3h 14m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:42 → OMA 20:40AA 2167	6h 35m	90%	60%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON