Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: one nonstop, WN 1418 at 18:44, with a 19% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 1418 Southwest	HOU 18:44	PIT 22:44	19%	3%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557	2h 05m Atlanta	ATL 11:10 → PIT 12:52DL 1345	5h 52m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	HOU 17:17 → ATL 20:32DL 2381	2h 32m Atlanta	ATL 23:04 → PIT 00:50 +1DL 1351	6h 33m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	HOU 10:40 → ATL 13:46DL 1509	1h 37m Atlanta	ATL 15:23 → PIT 17:08DL 1568	5h 28m	97%	89%
Delta Details →	HOU 14:16 → ATL 17:23DL 1195	2h 32m Atlanta	ATL 19:55 → PIT 21:42DL 2583	6h 26m	97%	86%
American Details →	HOU 09:31 → DFW 10:55AA 4036 · flown by Envoy	2h 49m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:44 → PIT 17:36AA 1868	7h 05m	100%	86%
Southwest Details →	HOU 11:00 → DAL 12:10WN 20	2h 55m Dallas	DAL 15:05 → PIT 18:50WN 2046	6h 50m	99%	84%
American Details →	HOU 14:02 → DFW 15:25AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest	3h 51m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:16 → PIT 23:04AA 680	8h 02m	94%	78%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON