Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 10:40, is the safest bet: 88% chance of reaching Savannah on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HOU 10:40 → ATL 13:46DL 1509	3h 04m Atlanta	ATL 16:50 → SAV 18:02DL 3112	6h 22m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	HOU 17:17 → ATL 20:32DL 2381	2h 14m Atlanta	ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860	5h 36m	97%	87%
Delta Details →	HOU 14:16 → ATL 17:23DL 1195	2h 43m Atlanta	ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425	6h 01m	97%	86%
Southwest Details →	HOU 09:30 → DAL 10:35WN 14	2h 33m Dallas	DAL 13:08 → SAV 16:32WN 1049	6h 02m	99%	82%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON