Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 6:00 am at White Plains)

Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–21% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


B6 813 JetBlue Flight history →	HPN 08:30	FLL 11:27	12%	4%	0.3%	80%
B6 613 JetBlue Flight history →	HPN 21:00	FLL 23:57	21%	8%	0.9%	68%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	HPN 07:55 → CLT 09:57AA 5403 · flown by PSA	2h 21m Charlotte	CLT 12:18 → FLL 14:20AA 1484	6h 25m	96%	82%
Delta Details →	HPN 12:50 → ATL 15:10DL 2973	2h 35m Atlanta	ATL 17:45 → FLL 19:43DL 1670	6h 53m	99%	81%
Delta Details →	HPN 18:14 → ATL 20:37DL 5013 · flown by Endeavor	2h 08m Atlanta	ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229	6h 25m	96%	79%
Delta Details →	HPN 15:06 → MSP 16:54DL 4693 · flown by Endeavor	1h 30m Minneapolis	MSP 18:24 → FLL 23:02DL 1675	7h 56m	91%	78%
Delta Details →	HPN 12:34 → DTW 14:20DL 4645 · flown by Endeavor	2h 27m Detroit	DTW 16:47 → FLL 19:48DL 1037	7h 14m	98%	78%
American Details →	HPN 10:54 → CLT 12:55AA 5431 · flown by PSA	2h 32m Charlotte	CLT 15:27 → FLL 17:39AA 2397	6h 45m	98%	78%
American Details →	HPN 12:00 → ORD 13:38AA 3812 · flown by Envoy	3h 47m Chicago	ORD 17:25 → FLL 21:32AA 2881	9h 32m	99%	72%
American Details →	HPN 18:37 → CLT 20:28AA 5070 · flown by PSA	1h 28m Charlotte	CLT 21:56 → FLL 00:05 +1AA 2945	5h 28m	88%	70%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON