Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 5:21 am at White Plains)

Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, B6 1551 at 06:56, with a 5% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


B6 1551 JetBlue Flight history →	HPN 06:56	RSW 10:21	5%	2%	0.7%	95%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HPN 12:50 → ATL 15:10DL 2973	1h 57m Atlanta	ATL 17:07 → RSW 18:55DL 1124	6h 05m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	HPN 06:00 → ATL 08:19DL 2379	2h 06m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153	6h 11m	97%	80%
Delta Details →	HPN 15:06 → MSP 16:54DL 4693 · flown by Endeavor	2h 06m Minneapolis	MSP 19:00 → RSW 23:26DL 2268	8h 20m	94%	78%
Delta Details →	HPN 18:14 → ATL 20:37DL 5013 · flown by Endeavor	2h 03m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → RSW 00:23 +1DL 1217	6h 09m	95%	78%
American Details →	HPN 07:10 → ORD 08:51AA 3496 · flown by Envoy	3h 24m Chicago	ORD 12:15 → RSW 16:12AA 1742	9h 02m	99%	77%
American Details →	HPN 07:55 → CLT 09:57AA 5403 · flown by PSA	2h 28m Charlotte	CLT 12:25 → RSW 14:31AA 2018	6h 36m	95%	75%
American Details →	HPN 10:54 → CLT 12:55AA 5431 · flown by PSA	3h 06m Charlotte	CLT 16:01 → RSW 18:09AA 1930	7h 15m	98%	73%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON