Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16–20% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 5210 Delta flown by Endeavor Flight history →	HSV 07:14	LGA 10:30	16%	2%	0.7%	88%
DL 5496 Delta flown by Endeavor Flight history →	HSV 15:45	LGA 19:11	20%	4%	0.7%	51%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Huntsville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HSV 07:12 → ATL 09:17DL 3009	3h 13m Atlanta	ATL 12:30 → LGA 14:50DL 525	6h 38m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	HSV 08:50 → ATL 10:50DL 3036	2h 40m Atlanta	ATL 13:30 → LGA 15:50DL 460	6h 00m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	HSV 05:30 → ATL 07:31DL 2556	59m Atlanta	ATL 08:30 → LGA 10:41DL 513	4h 11m	97%	87%
Delta Details →	HSV 09:50 → ATL 11:49DL 1708	2h 41m Atlanta	ATL 14:30 → LGA 16:50DL 524	6h 00m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	HSV 16:20 → ATL 18:25DL 3026	2h 35m Atlanta	ATL 21:00 → LGA 23:24DL 520	6h 04m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	HSV 06:02 → DTW 08:56DL 5382 · flown by Endeavor	3h 19m Detroit	DTW 12:15 → LGA 14:03DL 1669	7h 01m	99%	84%
American Details →	HSV 07:04 → CLT 09:51AA 6071 · flown by Piedmont	1h 53m Charlotte	CLT 11:44 → LGA 13:47AA 2796	5h 43m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	HSV 12:34 → ATL 14:33DL 2182	3h 27m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → LGA 20:27DL 434	6h 53m	99%	83%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	HSV 08:41 → CLT 10:58AA 5393 · flown by PSA	46m Charlotte	CLT 11:44 → LGA 13:47AA 2796	4h 06m	74%	63%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON