tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 4335 United flown by CommuteAir no forecast: 12-month record IAD 12:59 BUF 14:25 18% 6% 2.6% 82%
UA 4823 United flown by CommuteAir no forecast: 12-month record IAD 17:30 BUF 19:03 24% 11% 4.1% 76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Buffalo on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → IAD 06:00 → ATL 07:43DL 2127 1h 27m Atlanta ATL 09:10 → BUF 11:11DL 1384 5h 11m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → IAD 08:27 → ATL 10:18DL 3080 3h 42m Atlanta ATL 14:00 → BUF 16:03DL 2266 7h 36m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → IAD 17:26 → DTW 19:15DL 1787 3h 35m Detroit DTW 22:50 → BUF 23:58DL 978 6h 32m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → IAD 10:31 → ORD 11:53UA 1252 2h 14m Chicago ORD 14:07 → BUF 16:49UA 580 6h 18m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → IAD 11:35 → MSP 13:35DL 3699 · flown by SkyWest 1h 47m Minneapolis MSP 15:22 → BUF 18:24DL 1749 6h 49m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → IAD 12:37 → ATL 14:28DL 1444 2h 05m Atlanta ATL 16:33 → BUF 18:41DL 2050 6h 04m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → IAD 17:46 → ATL 19:54DL 1695 1h 58m Atlanta ATL 21:52 → BUF 23:59DL 2334 6h 13m 96% 82%
UnitedDetails → IAD 13:15 → ORD 14:29UA 2331 3h 46m Chicago ORD 18:15 → BUF 20:54UA 1335 7h 39m 99% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON