tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 4821 United flown by CommuteAir no forecast: 12-month record IAH 09:30 AMA 11:21 12% 5% 0.7% 88%
UA 4839 United flown by CommuteAir no forecast: 12-month record IAH 20:34 AMA 22:30 16% 6% 0.6% 84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Amarillo on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → IAH 05:02 → DFW 06:19AA 2551 2h 12m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 08:31 → AMA 09:56AA 3920 · flown by Envoy 4h 54m 98% 92%
AmericanDetails → IAH 12:11 → DFW 13:31AA 2438 3h 46m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:17 → AMA 18:38AA 3789 · flown by Envoy 6h 27m 98% 87%
AmericanDetails → IAH 08:54 → DFW 10:08AA 3598 · flown by Envoy 3h 02m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:10 → AMA 14:26AA 3383 · flown by Envoy 5h 32m 97% 87%
UnitedDetails → IAH 09:32 → DEN 11:08UA 1450 3h 02m Denver DEN 14:10 → AMA 16:43UA 5233 · flown by SkyWest 7h 11m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → IAH 16:35 → DEN 18:05UA 470 3h 00m Denver DEN 21:05 → AMA 23:41UA 5494 · flown by SkyWest 7h 06m 98% 82%
AmericanDetails → IAH 12:13 → DFW 13:37AA 1407 49m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 14:26 → AMA 15:44AA 3613 · flown by Envoy 3h 31m 81% 73%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON