tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 544 United Flight history → IAH 07:20 CLE 11:14 6% 2% 0.6% 91%
UA 1934 United Flight history → IAH 14:35 CLE 18:30 9% 3% 0.6% 83%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cleveland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → IAH 05:40 → ATL 08:50DL 1069 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 11:50 → CLE 13:32DL 775 6h 52m 100% 90%
UnitedDetails → IAH 07:25 → IAD 11:33UA 1549 1h 12m Dulles IAD 12:45 → CLE 14:06UA 1709 5h 41m 97% 90%
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:15 → DEN 06:47UA 1874 2h 53m Denver DEN 09:40 → CLE 14:36UA 619 8h 21m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:04 → ORD 07:59UA 1044 2h 30m Chicago ORD 10:29 → CLE 12:58UA 2389 6h 54m 100% 90%
UnitedDetails → IAH 06:10 → ORD 09:05UA 2616 3h 39m Chicago ORD 12:44 → CLE 15:20UA 1878 8h 10m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → IAH 07:00 → ATL 10:04DL 1315 3h 32m Atlanta ATL 13:36 → CLE 15:20DL 2545 7h 20m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → IAH 08:05 → ORD 11:01UA 1617 3h 19m Chicago ORD 14:20 → CLE 16:54UA 1502 7h 49m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → IAH 12:09 → ATL 15:21DL 1682 3h 28m Atlanta ATL 18:49 → CLE 20:41DL 2150 7h 32m 100% 87%
Tight connection: often missed
JetBlueDetails → IAH 16:42 → FLL 20:05B6 2180 50m Fort Lauderdale FLL 20:55 → CLE 23:55B6 1590 6h 13m 69% 54%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON