tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, OO 5716 at 18:56, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
OO 5716 SkyWest IAH 18:56 GRR 22:50 15% 5% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Grand Rapids on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Grand Rapids is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → IAH 15:15 → DTW 19:05DL 1307 3h 43m Detroit DTW 22:48 → GRR 23:51DL 4880 · flown by Endeavor 7h 36m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → IAH 05:30 → DTW 09:18DL 1389 3h 26m Detroit DTW 12:44 → GRR 13:44DL 5390 · flown by Endeavor 7h 14m 100% 94%
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:04 → ORD 07:59UA 1044 2h 38m Chicago ORD 10:37 → GRR 12:50UA 1297 6h 46m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → IAH 06:30 → MSP 09:13DL 1050 3h 40m Minneapolis MSP 12:53 → GRR 15:23DL 1245 7h 53m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:15 → DEN 06:47UA 1874 3h 11m Denver DEN 09:58 → GRR 14:35UA 2637 8h 20m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → IAH 06:01 → EWR 10:36UA 1797 3h 16m Newark EWR 13:52 → GRR 16:03UA 3419 · flown by Republic 9h 02m 100% 90%
AmericanDetails → IAH 11:39 → ORD 14:21AA 2504 2h 49m Chicago ORD 17:10 → GRR 19:20AA 4729 · flown by Republic 6h 41m 98% 89%
UnitedDetails → IAH 06:10 → ORD 09:05UA 2616 3h 27m Chicago ORD 12:32 → GRR 14:35UA 2751 7h 25m 100% 89%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON