tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 5:57 am at Houston)
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: United via Denver, leaving 07:20, is the safest bet: 89% chance of reaching Jackson on time.

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Jackson on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 1 h behind Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → IAH 07:20 → DEN 08:52UA 1575 2h 23m Denver DEN 11:15 → JAC 12:46UA 2193 6h 26m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → IAH 09:32 → DEN 11:08UA 1450 2h 47m Denver DEN 13:55 → JAC 15:25UA 1537 6h 53m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → IAH 07:09 → SLC 09:21DL 1583 1h 49m Salt Lake City SLC 11:10 → JAC 12:15DL 2282 6h 06m 97% 87%
UnitedDetails → IAH 08:20 → SFO 10:25UA 2744 3h 11m San Francisco SFO 13:36 → JAC 17:02UA 1593 9h 42m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → IAH 14:21 → SLC 16:33DL 1532 1h 37m Salt Lake City SLC 18:10 → JAC 19:23DL 4025 · flown by SkyWest 6h 02m 94% 85%
UnitedDetails → IAH 12:33 → DEN 14:17UA 2168 2h 03m Denver DEN 16:20 → JAC 17:53UA 2200 6h 20m 97% 84%
AmericanDetails → IAH 06:02 → DFW 07:28AA 700 3h 10m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:38 → JAC 12:36AA 1883 7h 34m 97% 82%
AmericanDetails → IAH 07:34 → ORD 10:20AA 3106 3h 04m Chicago ORD 13:24 → JAC 15:46AA 2611 9h 12m 99% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON