Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 15–20% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


UA 1936 United Flight history →	IAH 11:59	OMA 14:25	15%	5%	0.6%	84%
UA 1216 United Flight history →	IAH 20:20	OMA 22:45	20%	5%	0.6%	72%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	IAH 05:40 → ATL 08:50DL 1069	2h 36m Atlanta	ATL 11:26 → OMA 12:45DL 1125	7h 05m	99%	89%
United Details →	IAH 05:15 → DEN 06:47UA 1874	3h 15m Denver	DEN 10:02 → OMA 12:40UA 1633	7h 25m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	IAH 09:41 → ATL 12:48DL 1585	3h 37m Atlanta	ATL 16:25 → OMA 17:48DL 2364	8h 07m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	IAH 05:30 → DTW 09:18DL 1389	2h 57m Detroit	DTW 12:15 → OMA 13:22DL 3762 · flown by SkyWest	7h 52m	99%	88%
American Details →	IAH 05:02 → DFW 06:19AA 2551	1h 33m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 07:52 → OMA 09:58AA 2135	4h 56m	96%	85%
Delta Details →	IAH 06:30 → MSP 09:13DL 1050	1h 26m Minneapolis	MSP 10:39 → OMA 11:57DL 3838 · flown by SkyWest	5h 27m	94%	84%
United Details →	IAH 06:10 → ORD 09:05UA 2616	3h 35m Chicago	ORD 12:40 → OMA 14:17UA 247	8h 07m	100%	83%
United Details →	IAH 09:32 → DEN 11:08UA 1450	2h 42m Denver	DEN 13:50 → OMA 16:24UA 2327	6h 52m	98%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON