tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 315 United Flight history → IAH 12:00 PIT 15:56 9% 3% 0.6% 85%
UA 2757 United IAH 17:52 PIT 21:53 15% 3% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → IAH 06:10 → ORD 09:05UA 2616 3h 35m Chicago ORD 12:40 → PIT 15:23UA 3432 · flown by Republic 8h 13m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → IAH 05:40 → ATL 08:50DL 1069 2h 20m Atlanta ATL 11:10 → PIT 12:52DL 1345 6h 12m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → IAH 07:00 → LGA 11:33DL 1417 1h 37m New York LGA 13:10 → PIT 14:47DL 5715 · flown by Republic 6h 47m 98% 92%
DeltaDetails → IAH 09:41 → ATL 12:48DL 1585 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 15:23 → PIT 17:08DL 1568 6h 27m 99% 91%
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:15 → DEN 06:47UA 1874 3h 18m Denver DEN 10:05 → PIT 15:16UA 1308 9h 01m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → IAH 16:35 → IAD 20:46UA 2388 1h 44m Dulles IAD 22:30 → PIT 23:36UA 3540 · flown by Republic 6h 01m 95% 89%
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:04 → ORD 07:59UA 1044 2h 30m Chicago ORD 10:29 → PIT 13:05UA 2752 7h 01m 100% 88%
AmericanDetails → IAH 06:02 → DFW 07:28AA 700 3h 15m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:43 → PIT 14:39AA 2664 7h 37m 98% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON